Is Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) overvalued or undervalued?
Updated Nov 10, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice
Backup data source — This price comes from our backup market-data feed. Valuations here are built from company filings and are unaffected.
At a recent price of $253.76, Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) trades 26% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $201.66 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices FIVE overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -20.5% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
The valuation discounts Five Below, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.8%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 77% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 19.4% annual revenue growth for FIVE. Our base case instead compounds to about 14.2% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, FIVE's modeled DCF value ranges from about $150.02 to $316.85 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Five Below, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of FIVE's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
The assumptions behind FIVE's DCF
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Base-year revenue | $4,764,150,000 | Five Below, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001177609-26-000010): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. |
| Base EBIT margin | 9.6% | Five Below, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001177609-26-000010): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 457,399,000 / revenue 4,764,147,000 = 9.60%, FY2025. |
| Forecast revenue growth | 25% → 20% → 14% → 9% → 4% | Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast |
| Risk-free rate | 4.8% | Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) |
| Beta | 0.97 | Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC |
| Diluted shares | 55M | Five Below, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001177609-26-000010): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 55,436,972 shares, FY2025. |
| Market price | $253.76 | Backup price feed · as of 2026-11-10 04:59 UTC |
Researched from filings: the base year — revenue, operating margin and balance-sheet figures — comes straight from this company's latest SEC 10-K (cached, refreshed periodically). Forward growth and terminal value are still algorithmic estimates; drag the WACC slider to test sensitivity.
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Most undervalued stocks (per our valuation) · All valued stocks · Interactive FIVE valuation & downloadable modelEducational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.